A whopping two-thirds of Republican voters say they support former President Donald Trump and dismiss concerns about his election despite his recent criminal arrest and other legal investigations into his past behavior. new NBC News national poll finds.
That, along with his double-digit lead over the nearest potential GOP rival, Florida’s governor. Ron DeSantis – makes Trump the clear leader in the early race for the Republican presidential nomination.
The Republican Party’s continued enthusiasm for Trump contrasts with people’s uneasy dissatisfaction with the way the 2024 election race is shaping up. The vast majority of Americans do not want Trump or President Joe Biden to run for president in 2024, which could be divisive. and a boring general election rematch between the two men, with Biden expected to announce his bid for re-election in the coming days.
And half of those who don’t want an 80-year-old Biden to run say the president’s age is the “main” reason.
Trump is 76 years old.
“At this stage, 2024 could be a continuation of the 2020 election,” said Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt of Hart Research, who conducted this poll with Republican pollster Bill McInturf and his team at Public Opinion Strategies. “Sequels are often hits at the box office, but obviously not at the ballot box.”
McInturf, a Republican Party pollster, adds: “It’s clear that people don’t want a Biden-Trump rematch.”
The April 14-18 NBC News poll follows Trump’s arrest and indictment in New York on charges of falsifying business records in a money-hushing case.
It also comes as prosecutors and grand juries in Atlanta and Washington, D.C., look into the former president’s alleged meddling in the 2020 Georgia election results, his role in the January 6 Capitol attack, and his handling of classified documents found in his Mar- A-. Lago home.
Despite the indictment against him and other investigations into his conduct, Trump is leading the first nationwide test run of the Republican presidential race in an NBC News poll.
Forty-six percent of Republican primary voters choose Trump as their first choice, and 31% choose DeSantis as their 2024 candidate of the year, whom they support.
They are followed by former vice president Mike Pence with 6% and former governor of South Carolina. Nikki Haley, Senator Tim Scott, RS.C. (who is studying the 2024 bid) and former Governor of Arkansas. All Asa Hutchinson scored 3%. Businessman Vivek Ramaswami has 2%.
Meanwhile, DeSantis is the second choice of 33% of GOP primary voters, Trump is the second choice of 20%, and Haley is the second choice of 14%.
However, what also stands out in the poll is that nearly 70% of Republican voters say they support Trump despite the various investigations he faces.
Sixty-eight percent of GOP primary voters agree with the statement that Trump’s investigations are politically motivated and designed to prevent him from becoming president again, and that they should support him now to prevent his opponents from winning.
This is compared to 26% who agree with the opposite statement – that it is important to nominate another candidate who will not be distracted and can only focus on defeating Biden in the general election.
However, among all voters — not just Republicans — 52% believe that the same standards are applied to Trump as to anyone who is accused of what he did when he is charged in New York. Another 43% disagree and say he is being persecuted unfairly.
Most don’t want Biden and Trump to run for president in 2024
The NBC News poll also comes just days before Biden’s expected re-election announcement.
According to the poll, 70% of all Americans, including 51% of Democrats, believe he should not run for a second term.
Half of those who say Biden shouldn’t run cite his age as the “primary” reason.
“The president should reflect the age group in the country. They should both resign,” one Washington State Democratic poll participant said, also referring to Trump. “Someone’s turn.”
As for Trump, 60% of Americans, including a third of Republicans, believe that the former president should not run in 2024.
41% say they would vote for Biden in the general election
An NBC News poll shows that a total of 41% of registered voters said they would definitely or likely vote for Biden in the general election, compared to 47% who said they would vote for the eventual Republican nominee.
Across parties, 88% of Democratic voters say they would definitely or likely vote for Biden, compared to 22% of independents and only 3% of Republicans.
In addition, 41% of all adults in the poll approve of Biden’s work, while 54% disapprove—compared to Biden’s rating of 45% approve and 50% disapprove in January.
Across parties, 83% of Democrats approve of the way Biden has done his job, compared to 30% of independents and just 6% of Republicans.
“President Biden’s numbers are not where they should be at this juncture,” said Horwitt, a Democratic pollster, noting the president’s struggles with independents.
However, Biden remains more popular than Trump, with 38% of adults positive about the incumbent compared to 48% negative (-10).
This is compared to Trump’s 34% positive and 53% negative ratings (-19).
“Yes, Joe Biden has some work to do, but he continues to be treated less negatively than Donald Trump,” Horwitt added.
58% think abortion should be legal
Finally, a national NBC News poll shows that almost six in 10 adults — 58% — say abortions should be legal, either always (38%) or most of the time (20%).
In contrast, collectively 38% believe that abortion should be illegal, either with exceptions (32%) or no exceptions (6%).
These results are virtually unchanged from an NBC News poll released a year ago in May 2022, where 60% said abortions should always or mostly be legal, compared to 37% who said they should be illegal. with or without exceptions.
The NBC News poll was conducted April 14-18 of 1,000 adults, including 861 who can be reached by cell phone, and has an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
The margin of error for 800 registered voters is plus or minus 3.46 percentage points, and the margin of error for 292 Republican primary voters is plus or minus 5.99 percentage points.